Bayesian network modeling metrics of performance and uncertainty
نویسنده
چکیده
Model sensitivity analysis variance reduction ( ) ( ), where ( ) ∑ ( )[ ( )] , ( ) ∑ ( )[ ( )] , ( ) ∑ ( ) , where is the numeric real value of state q, ( ) is the expected real value of Q before applying new findings, ( ) is the expected real value of Q after applying new findings f for variable F, and ( ) is the variance of the real value of Q before any new findings [0,infinity], the greater the value, the more sensitive is a resultant node Q to the node in question F; used with continuous variables Marcot et al. 2006, Marcot 2012
منابع مشابه
Uncertainty Modeling of a Group Tourism Recommendation System Based on Pearson Similarity Criteria, Bayesian Network and Self-Organizing Map Clustering Algorithm
Group tourism is one of the most important tasks in tourist recommender systems. These systems, despite of the potential contradictions among the group's tastes, seek to provide joint suggestions to all members of the group, and propose recommendations that would allow the satisfaction of a group of users rather than individual user satisfaction. Another issue that has received less attention i...
متن کاملGreen Supply Chain Risk Network Management and Performance Analysis: Bayesian Belief Network Modeling
With the increase in environmental awareness, competitions and government policies, implementation of green supply chain management activities to sustain production and conserve resources is becoming more necessary for different organizations. However, it is difficult to successfully implement green supply chain (GSC) activities because of the risks involved. These risks alongside their resourc...
متن کاملRule-based joint fuzzy and probabilistic networks
One of the important challenges in Graphical models is the problem of dealing with the uncertainties in the problem. Among graphical networks, fuzzy cognitive map is only capable of modeling fuzzy uncertainty and the Bayesian network is only capable of modeling probabilistic uncertainty. In many real issues, we are faced with both fuzzy and probabilistic uncertainties. In these cases, the propo...
متن کاملRobust Opponent Modeling in Real-Time Strategy Games using Bayesian Networks
Opponent modeling is a key challenge in Real-Time Strategy (RTS) games as the environment is adversarial in these games, and the player cannot predict the future actions of her opponent. Additionally, the environment is partially observable due to the fog of war. In this paper, we propose an opponent model which is robust to the observation noise existing due to the fog of war. In order to cope...
متن کاملA Surface Water Evaporation Estimation Model Using Bayesian Belief Networks with an Application to the Persian Gulf
Evaporation phenomena is a effective climate component on water resources management and has special importance in agriculture. In this paper, Bayesian belief networks (BBNs) as a non-linear modeling technique provide an evaporation estimation method under uncertainty. As a case study, we estimated the surface water evaporation of the Persian Gulf and worked with a dataset of observations ...
متن کاملA Surface Water Evaporation Estimation Model Using Bayesian Belief Networks with an Application to the Persian Gulf
Evaporation phenomena is a effective climate component on water resources management and has special importance in agriculture. In this paper, Bayesian belief networks (BBNs) as a non-linear modeling technique provide an evaporation estimation method under uncertainty. As a case study, we estimated the surface water evaporation of the Persian Gulf and worked with a dataset of observations ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014